Power identities for Lévy risk models under taxation and capital injections

In this paper we study a spectrally negative Lévy process which is refracted at its running maximum and at the same time reflected from below at a certain level. Such a process can for instance be used to model an insurance surplus process subject to tax payments according to a loss-carry-forward scheme together with the flow of minimal capital injections required to keep the surplus process non-negative. We characterize the first passage time over an arbitrary level and the cumulative amount of injected capital up to this time by their joint Laplace transform, and show that it satisfies a simple power relation to the case without refraction, generalizing results by Albrecher and Hipp (2007) and Albrecher, Renaud and Zhou (2008). It turns out that this identity can also be extended to a certain type of refraction from below. The net present value of tax collected before the cumulative injected capital exceeds a certain amount is determined, and a numerical illustration is provided

Identification of wet areas in forest using remote sensing data

ArticleAim of this study is to evaluate different remote sensing indices to detect spatial distribution of wet soils using GIS based algorithms. Ar ea of this study represents different soil types on various quaternary deposits as well as different forest types. We analyzed 25 sites with the area of 1 km 2 each in central and western part of Latvia. Data about soil characteristics like thickness of pea t layer and presence of reductimorphic colors in soil was collected during field surveys in 228 random points within study sites. ANOVA test for comparing means of different soil wetness classes and binary logistic regression analysis for evaluating the ac curacy of different remote sensing indices to model spatial distribution of wet areas are used for analysis. Main conclusion of this study is that for different quaternary deposits and soil texture classes different algorithms for soil wetness prediction s hould be used. Data layers for predicting soil wetness in this study are various modifications and resolutions of digital elevation model like depressions, slope and SAGA wetness index as well as Sentinel - 2 multispectral satellite imagery. Accuracy of soil wetness classification of soils on moraine, fluvial and eolian sediments exceeds 94%, whereas on the clayey sediments it is close to 80%

A risk model with an observer in a Markov environment

We consider a spectrally-negative Markov additive process as a model of a risk process in a random environment. Following recent interest in alternative ruin concepts, we assume that ruin occurs when an independent Poissonian observer sees the process as negative, where the observation rate may depend on the state of the environment. Using an approximation argument and spectral theory, we establish an explicit formula for the resulting survival probabilities in this general setting. We also discuss an efficient evaluation of the involved quantities and provide a numerical illustration

Exit identities for Levy processes observed at Poisson arrival times

For a spectrally one-sided Levy process, we extend various two-sided exit identities to the situation when the process is only observed at arrival epochs of an independent Poisson process. In addition, we consider exit problems of this type for processes reflected either from above or from below. The resulting Laplace transforms of the main quantities of interest are in terms of scale functions and turn out to be simple analogues of the classical formulas

Exact boundaries in sequential testing for phase-type distributions

Consider Wald's sequential probability ratio test for deciding whether a sequence of independent and identically distributed observations comes from a specified phase-type distribution or from an exponentially tilted alternative distribution. Exact decision boundaries for given type-I and type-II errors are derived by establishing a link with ruin theory. Information on the mean sample size of the test can be retrieved as well. The approach relies on the use of matrix-valued scale functions associated with a certain one-sided Markov additive process. By suitable transformations, the results also apply to other types of distributions, including some distributions with regularly varying tails

On the record process of time-reversible spectrally-negative Markov additive processes

We study the record process of a spectrally-negative Markov additive process (MAP). Assuming time-reversibility, a number of key quantities can be given explicitly. It is shown how these key quantities can be used when analyzing the distribution of the all-time maximum attained by MAPs with negative drift, or, equivalently, the stationary workload distribution of the associated storage system; the focus is on Markov-modulated Brownian mo- tion, spectrally-negative and spectrally-positive MAPs. It is also argued how our results are of great help in the numerical analysis of systems in which the driving MAP is a superposition of multiple time-reversible MAPs

On simple ruin expressions in dependent Sparre Andersen risk models

In this note we provide a simple alternative derivation of an explicit formula of Kwan and Yang [14] for the probability of ruin in a risk model with a certain dependence between general claim inter-occurrence times and subsequent claim sizes of conditionally exponential type. The approach puts the type of formula in a general context, illustrating the potential for similar simple ruin probability expressions in more general risk models with dependence

On simple ruin expressions in dependent Sparre Andersen risk models

In this note we provide a simple alternative probabilistic derivation of an explicit formula of Kwan and Yang (2007) for the probability of ruin in a risk model with a certain dependence between general claim interoccurrence times and subsequent claim sizes of conditionally exponential type. The approach puts the type of formula in a general context, illustrating the potential for similar simple ruin probability expressions in more general risk models with dependence

On simple ruin expressions in dependent Sparre Andersen risk models

Abstract In this note we provide a simple alternative derivation of an explicit formula of Kwan and Yang [14] for the probability of ruin in a risk model with a certain dependence between general claim inter-occurrence times and subsequent claim sizes of conditionally exponential type. The approach puts the type of formula in a general context, illustrating the potential for similar simple ruin probability expressions in more general risk models with dependence